Introduction The 2026 fuel crisis in the Russian Federation has also affected Georgia’s Russian-occupied Abkhazia region. However, few reports have emerged regarding fuel shortages in the country’s occupied Tskhinvali region, also known as “South Ossetia.” GFSIS-E has published a study examining the fuel market in Abkhazia, focusing on its structure, supply mechanisms, and dependence on…
Post-Soviet Conflicts Watch monitors ongoing conflicts and post-conflict developments throughout the post-Soviet region. The publication analyses key events and trends in Georgia’s Russian-occupied Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali region (so-called South Ossetia), as well as in Transnistria, Gagauzia, and other areas. It also covers the Armenian-Azerbaijani peace process following on from the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War. Note: This…
Occupied Tskhinvali Region (“South Ossetia”) The Ossetian military spent most of September in preparation for various upcoming ceremonies. Other activities were mostly formal and non-combative in nature. The de facto Defence Ministry reported multiple times on their “Honour Guard” and other servicemen preparing for the 36th anniversary of the establishment of the “Republic of South…
Introduction This article examines official statements on Moldova issued by the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), reviewing their key messages, and providing objective analysis of events that are often presented by the service in a misleading or biased manner. GFSIS-E has also released an introductory article on the topic. The article places the SVR publications…
On 18 September 2026, in the early illegitimate presidential election held in Georgia’s Russian-occupied Tskhinvali region (the former South Ossetian Autonomous Region), Marat Kambolov secured a convincing victory. His win was widely anticipated, making him the first de facto president of the region whose life and career have had no direct connection to it. Although…
Introduction The fuel supply crisis in the Russian Federation, caused by Ukrainian airstrikes targeting a significant number of oil refineries, has spread into the Russian-occupied Georgian region of Abkhazia. The crisis intensified in late July and August 2026, coinciding with the peak summer tourist season in Abkhazia, as local residents and Russian tourists increasingly reported…
Post-Soviet Conflicts Watch monitors ongoing conflicts and post-conflict developments throughout the post-Soviet region. The publication analyses key events and trends in Georgia’s Russian-occupied Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali region (so-called South Ossetia), as well as in Transnistria, Gagauzia, and other areas. It also covers the Armenian-Azerbaijani peace process following on from the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War. Note: This…
Occupied Abkhazia Kabardian Mercenaries Visit Abkhazia On August 15, de facto Defence Minister of Abkhazia Beslan Tsvizhba hosted a group of ethnic Kabardians from Russia’s Republic of Kabardino-Balkaria, including veterans of the Confederation of the Mountain Peoples of the Caucasus who fought against Georgia during the 1990s war in Abkhazia. It is noteworthy that the…
On July 29, 2026, it was announced that the Republic of Naoero (formerly Nauru), an island state located in the Pacific Ocean, had severed diplomatic relations with Georgia’s Russian-occupied Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali region, and had withdrawn its decision to recognise them as independent states. This article explains when and why Naoero recognised the independence…
Introduction This article examines the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service’s (SVR) official statements on Armenia. As Armenia re-evaluates its security architecture and deepens ties with Western institutions following the recent Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Moscow has leveraged messaging to shape domestic discourse. This article examines the SVR statements by reviewing key messages, and provides objective analysis of the…