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Introduction The 2026 fuel crisis in the Russian Federation has also affected Georgia’s Russian-occupied Abkhazia region. However, few reports have emerged regarding fuel shortages in the country’s occupied Tskhinvali region, also known as “South Ossetia.” GFSIS-E has published a study examining the fuel market in Abkhazia, focusing on its structure, supply mechanisms, and dependence on…
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В издании «РИА Новости» вышло большое программное интервью директора четвертого департамента стран СНГ МИД РФ Михаила Калугина. Начинается оно с обобщенного регионального обзора. По мнению чиновника, «на Южном Кавказе стремятся закрепиться некоторые внерегиональные игроки, намеренные встроить его в свои агрессивные, корыстные замыслы» (в частности, сократить взаимодействие южнокавказских стран с Китаем, Ираном и Россией). Что касается…
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Armenia’s Foreign Policy On 24 September 2026, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan met with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on the sidelines of the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly. The Erdogan-Pashinyan meeting in New York, 24 September 2026 The two leaders discussed the normalisation of Armenia-Türkiye relations and the…
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Russia’s war against Ukraine has fundamentally changed the geopolitical environment in which EU enlargement takes place. Once viewed primarily as an instrument of democratic transformation and economic integration, enlargement is increasingly also understood as a matter of European security, geopolitical influence and resilience. Estonia offers a particularly interesting perspective. Having joined the European Union during…
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Post-Soviet Conflicts Watch monitors ongoing conflicts and post-conflict developments throughout the post-Soviet region. The publication analyses key events and trends in Georgia’s Russian-occupied Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali region (so-called South Ossetia), as well as in Transnistria, Gagauzia, and other areas. It also covers the Armenian-Azerbaijani peace process following on from the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War. Note: This…
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Occupied Tskhinvali Region (“South Ossetia”) The Ossetian military spent most of September in preparation for various upcoming ceremonies. Other activities were mostly formal and non-combative in nature. The de facto Defence Ministry reported multiple times on their “Honour Guard” and other servicemen preparing for the 36th anniversary of the establishment of the “Republic of South…
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Прогосударственные медиа о ситуации в Грузии. Между политическими деятелями России и Грузии вновь произошел обмен мнениями о необходимости сближения стран. На этот раз поводом стал Международный фестиваль молодежи, на который приехала делегация под руководством секретаря грузинской партии «Солидарность во имя мира» Мамуки Пипии, а также присутствие грузинских наблюдателей на выборах в российскую Государственную думу. «Я…
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Introduction This article examines official statements on Moldova issued by the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), reviewing their key messages, and providing objective analysis of events that are often presented by the service in a misleading or biased manner. GFSIS-E has also released an introductory article on the topic. The article places the SVR publications…
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Alex Vatanka Middle East Institute, Washington D.C. Download PDF Europe did not choose the war with Iran, and most European governments still resist describing themselves as participants in it. But six months of military basing, missile-defense drawdowns, energy shocks, sanctions pressure and planning for possible migration crisis have made that distance harder to sustain. The…
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Victoria Vdovychenko Centre for Geopolitics, University of Cambridge Download PDF For a brief period in 2024 and early 2025, it seemed that the worst of the Black Sea’s wartime disruption was behind it. Ukraine’s unilateral shipping corridor, launched in August 2023 after Russia tore up the UN-brokered Grain Initiative, proved remarkably resilient. By January 2026,…